Luton Town vs. Everton Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

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West Ham's Lucas Paqueta, left vies for the ball with Luton Town's Marvelous Nakamba during the English Premier League soccer match between Luton Town against West Ham United, in Luton, England, Friday, Sept. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Frank Augstein)
(AP Photo/Frank Augstein)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 01, 2024, 3:33 PM
  • Luton Town is a -0.5-goal favorite against Everton.
  • The Hatters won 2-1 at Goodison Park and need a victory in an effort to avoid relegation.
  • Why bettors should look to the prop markets for Friday’s fixture.

As Luton Town attempt to climb out of the relegation zone into safety, they welcome Everton to Kenilworth Road on Friday. 

Luton and Everton have met two times this season, with the Hatters capturing two straight up victories. However, it came with a little bit of luck on their side. 

Most recently, Luton dropped all three points at Wolves while Everton captured their third straight win in a home match against Brentford. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Friday’s fixture. 

EPL Betting Odds – Luton Town vs. Everton

  • Luton Town Moneyline: +155
  • Everton Moneyline: +160
  • Draw Moneyline: +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-150/+110)

EPL Prediction – Luton Town vs. Everton

Both Teams to Score – Second Half (+180)

This particular prop market has proved a cash cow in Luton Town home matches. 

The “yes” side of both teams to score has hit in 14 of 17 fixtures at Kenilworth Road, including seven of their last eight games. 

Rather than laying heavy juice with the “yes” side of both teams to score – it’s currently -175 – I’ll target both teams to score in the second half. 

In those 17 matches at Kenilworth Road, the “yes” side of this second half market has cashed 11 times. 

Luton in particular have proved much better at scoring in the second half. They’ve cleared 0.5 goals in 13 of 17 home second halves and 23 of 35 second halves overall. 

In their two meetings against Everton this season, Luton have done better in the latter half. 

Of the 3.2 post-shot xG they’ve created against the Toffees, 57% came in the second half. 

However, this is simultaneously a Luton side that has allowed a goal in 27 of 35 second halves, including four straight and five of their last six. 

Finally, this is an Everton side that has managed a second half tally in nine of 17 road fixtures this season compared to a first half goal in only four of 17. 

As a result, expect goals later in the game, especially if Luton needs to chase the game as they seek three points. 

Luton Town Form 

April 27 at Wolves: 1-2, L

April 20 vs. Brentford: 1-5, L

April 13 at Man City: 1-5, L

April 6 vs. Bournemouth: 2-1, W

April 3 at Arsenal: 0-2, L

Everton Form

April 27 vs. Brentford: 1-0, W

April 24 vs. Liverpool: 2-0, W

April 21 vs. Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 15 at Chelsea: 0-6, L

April 6 vs. Burnley: 1-0, W

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
ArsenalEvertonMay. 1911:00 AMEmirates Stadium
Man CityWest Ham UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMEtihad Stadium
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMGTech Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMAmex Stadium
BurnleyNottingham ForestMay. 1911:00 AMTurf Moor
ChelseaBournemouthMay. 1911:00 AMStamford Bridge
Crystal PalaceAston VillaMay. 1911:00 AMSelhurst Park
LiverpoolWolvesMay. 1911:00 AMAnfield
Luton TownFulhamMay. 1911:00 AMKenilworth Road
Sheffield UnitedTottenhamMay. 1911:00 AMBramall Lane

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal DifferentialNotes
Manchester City27-7-38860---
Arsenal FC27-5-58661---
Liverpool FC23-10-47943---
Aston Villa FC20-8-96820---
Tottenham Hotspur19-6-126310---
Chelsea FC17-9-116013---
Newcastle United17-6-145721---
Manchester United17-6-1457-3---
West Ham United14-10-1352-12---
Brighton & Hove Albion12-12-1248-4---
Crystal Palace12-10-1546-6---
Fulham FC12-8-1744-8---
Everton13-9-1540-108 Point Deduction
Nottingham Forest8-9-2029-194 Point Deduction
Luton Town6-8-2326-31---
Burnley FC5-9-2324-36---
Sheffield United3-7-2716-66---

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Aston Villa19-17-1.52712-7.6327-10-1.417
Brighton & Hove Albion15-20-2.4328-9-1.4727-11-1.395
Crystal Palace20-17.5419-9.50011-8.579
Luton Town22-14-1.60813-5.7229-9-1.500
Manchester City19-18.5148-10.44411-8.579
Manchester United17-20.4599-10.4748-10.444
Newcastle United18-19.48612-7.6326-12.333
Nottingham Forest15-20-2.4325-13-1.28910-7-1.583
Sheffield United19-18.5149-9.50010-9.526
Tottenham Hotspur18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500
West Ham United19-18.51412-7.6327-11.389
Wolverhampton Wanderers18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.