- Manchester City is a -1.5 goal favorite vs. Tottenham.
- Man City has earned two straight home wins vs. Tottenham.
- Spurs enter Sunday’s meeting on a three-match winless run.
Ahead of Sunday’s marquee English Premier League match, I’m set to provide a Manchester City vs. Tottenham prediction.
Manchester City has drawn two straight Premier League fixtures and enters Sunday’s match one point behind league leaders Arsenal.
As for Tottenham, their positive start has taken a turn. After starting the season on a 10-match unbeaten run, they’ve lost three straight EPL fixtures.
Here’s how the Premier League odds shape up for Sunday’s encounter at the Etihad Stadium.
Manchester City vs. Tottenham Odds
- Manchester City to Win: -375
- Tottenham to Win: +850
- Manchester City vs. Tottenham Draw: +525
- The Manchester City vs. Tottenham Over/Under is 3.5 Goals
Manchester City vs. Tottenham Prediction
Based on recent trends, the prediction for Manchester City vs. Tottenham is Manchester City Team Total Over 2.5 Goals (-125).
My prediction is based on up-to-date player injuries for both teams, expected goal trends and recent player performances.
Effectively, this bet allows bettors to take a cheaper price on the chance City covers the spread.
As of Friday afternoon, City -1.5 is -145 at BetMGM online sportsbook. If it gets down to -130, I’d consider a bet there, too.
That said, I’m not sure how Tottenham limits a powerful Manchester City attack.
Entering Sunday’s game, manager Ange Postecoglou’s side ranks 10th in non-penalty expected goals against, per fbref.com.
Across their last two matches – at Wolves, vs. Aston Villa – they’ve allowed 1.9 expected goals per 90 minutes, per fbref.com.
Now they face a City side fourth in non-penalty expected goals per 90 and first in post-shot expected goals per 90.
Even if Tottenham featured a full-strength defense, I still think City could have their way offensively.
In their last two trips to the Etihad Stadium, manager Pep Guardiola’s side has created at least 2.1 expected goals in both.
Plus, bettors have already seen City trounce better defenses this season.
Two matches ago at Chelsea, they traveled to a side sixth in non-penalty expected goals and created 2.1 npxG at Stamford Bridge.
Given those metrics, take City to notch at least three goals, so long as it’s available at -130 or better.
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