- Tottenham is a -0.5-goal home favorite against Fulham.
- Tottenham has won 14 of the previous 17 meetings against Fulham.
- My Tottenham vs. Fulham prediction focuses on the Fulham team total.
A London derby takes place Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with Tottenham welcoming Fulham.
Spurs delivered a 4-0 thumping of Manchester City in their previous match. That vaulted Ange Postecoglou’s side to sixth in the Premier League table, 12 points adrift of the top.
Fulham’s Matchday 12 performance left much to be desired. Marco Silva’s side fell 4-1 at home to Wolves as market favorites, ending a three-match unbeaten run.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs. Fulham prediction.
Tottenham vs. Fulham Odds, Premier League
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | +0.5 (+110) | 3.5 (-105) | +320 |
| Tottenham | -0.5 (-160) | 3.5 (-130) | -145 |
| Draw | +333 |
Tottenham vs. Fulham Prediction
Based on Fulham’s strong scoring record as underdogs and Tottenham’s injuries in defense, my Tottenham vs. Fulham prediction is Fulham 1H Over 0.5 (+115).
Fulham has cashed this prop three times in six road matches this season, but the performance giving the most encouragement came at Manchester City.
As heavier road underdogs than this price, Fulham’s attack dominated early.
They created 1.65 of their 2.6 xG in the opening 45 minutes, notching a goal inside the first half hour. In terms of big scoring chances, three of five big chances came in the first half.
On Sunday, they’ll get a Tottenham side facing two matches in four days with a weakened defense.
Micky Van De Ven remains out for Tottenham, and Christian Romero is a longshot to feature for Postecoglou.
That spells trouble for Tottenham, which has conceded a first half goal in four of their previous five league matches.
Fulham creates most of its chances early. According to understat.com, the Cottagers have created 12.18 xG in the opening 45 minutes compared to 10.23 in the second half.
Comparatively, Tottenham’s defense posts weak metrics earlier than later. Through 12 fixtures, they’ve allowed nine expected goals in the first half compared to 7.56 xGA in the second.
Finally, Fulham’s attack dominated Tottenham in the last head-to-head meeting.
Albeit at Craven Cottage, Fulham jumped out to a 1-0 halftime lead with 1.07 xG and two big scoring chances in the first half.
That match featured a similar Tottenham lineup to what’s expected on Sunday. Pair that with the short rest, and I’ll back the visitors to score early.
