- Morehead State (17-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State (16-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPNU
The Tennessee State Tigers (16-11) visit Ellis T. Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles (17-10) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Morehead.
Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.
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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee State | +4.5 -105 | O 135.5 -110 | +170 |
| Morehead State | -4.5 -115 | U 135.5 -110 | -210 |
Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this game with 60.8% confidence.
Tennessee State vs Morehead State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee State and Morehead State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Tennessee State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Morehead State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Morehead State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Morehead State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tennessee State has gone 11-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.68% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 2.64% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Morehead State has gone 13-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 15.76% ROI
- 8-15 when betting the Over for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI
- 15-8 when betting the Under for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI
Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee State has an eFG% of 53% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%
Tennessee State has averaged 1.30 points per shot (1,866 points/1,433 shots) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Tennessee State has averaged 1.30 points per shot (1,866 points/1,433 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Tennessee State has averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (284 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.6
Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Morehead State has 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1
Morehead State is shooting 34% from three (174/505) this season — 5th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Morehead State has a 37% free throw rate (489 free throw attempts/1,320 field goal attempts) this season — 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Morehead State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (885 assists/ 742 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (193/538) this season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Tennessee State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,043 points/3,160 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,388/3,160) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 44%
Tennessee State has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,797 points/1,386 shots) this season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Morehead State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (592 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Morehead State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,412/3,356) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 44%
Morehead State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (354/1,103) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Morehead State has allowed 67.5 points per game (1,620 points/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.7
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