- Tigers / Phillies TV Channel: NSP+
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Clearwater, FL.
This season, the Tigers are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-5 ATS.
Tigers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +145 |
| Phillies | -175 |
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.96 Units / 12.14% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.32 Units / 24.94% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.12 Units / -25.96% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 17.25% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.09 Units / 11.76% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -17.07% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.48 Units / 10.13% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty walked 39 of 236 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .234 (74-for-316) against Jack Flaherty with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed a BABIP of .374 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 63 opportunities (21%) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters chased 219 of Cristopher Sanchez’s 506 off-speed pitches out of the zone (chase rate of 43%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (55/78) against Cristopher Sanchez’s changeup in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 61% of Cristopher Sanchez’s pitches in the zone (453/741) in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers were just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers were just 16-23 (.410) after a home win in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 56-38 (.596) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Phillies are 27-115 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Phillies were 19-11 (.633) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies are 19-117 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Tigers hitters slugged just .382 in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .790 (3,042 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Phillies hitters struck out 471 times in 1,869 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies hitters slugged .438 in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Phillies won 60% of their home games in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies allowed 1.15 runs per game (187/162) in late innings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.36.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 2,950 times since last season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Phillies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brandon Marsh (Philadelphia Phillies): Knee, Out
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, Day-To-Day
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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