UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Fight Card, Predictions, & Odds

An exciting welterweight battle headlines the UFC Fight Night event inside the UFC APEX on Nov. 9, as No. 15-ranked contender Neil Magny faces the up-and-coming contender Carlos Prates in the main event card.

Despite being the ranked fighter, Magny heads into the match as the overwhelming underdog with +500 UFC odds. Another factor in his role as the underdog is his age because he’s already 37 years old.  

Meanwhile, due to his perfect record, Prates is the heavy betting favorite with -700 odds at BetMGM’s online sportsbook. The Brazilian rising star, who is 31, is currently in the prime of his professional career. 

Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates Odds

• Neil Magny: +500
• Carlos Prates: -700

Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates: Prediction

Prates’ power, precision, and youth will be too much for Magny to handle, and my prediction is a TKO/KO victory for Prates. Magny could end up on Prates’ victim list and be his latest ranked casualty after he defeated Li Jingliang. 

There’s a reason why the Brazilian rising star has a 100% finish rate inside the octagon. Prates also have decent grappling skills, but his striking and power have been his primary weapon inside the octagon.

Although Magny will have all the edge in terms of physical attributes with 2 inches of height, 2 inches of reach, and 1.5 inches of leg reach, Prates has a better record and a higher finish rate. Additionally, Prates is six years younger than Magny and is currently in the prime of his career.

Stylistically, Magny is the more well-rounded fighter who can fight in the striking and grappling departments. He also has incredible cardio, which he can utilize in this match, especially since this will be a five-round contest.

However, Magny’s disadvantage is he’s a slow starter and needs to find rhythm during the match to shine and showcase his striking and grappling prowess. Factor in his age, and we are looking at an athlete likely riding into the sunset of his professional career.

On the other hand, Prates is a savage striker with tremendous power. One clean shot could turn his opponent’s light out, and he has shown this in his first three victories under the Las Vegas-based promotion.

Besides his atomic punches, Prates also has a pin-point accuracy, primarily when he has already gauged the distance of his strikes. Furthermore, he likes to pressure his opponents and force them to fight on their back foot.

Neil Magny Recent Fight Results

Magny is a UFC veteran with 11 years and 33 fights inside the octagon. His route to the Las Vegas-based promotion was through the Ultimate Fighter 16, where he lost in the semifinals. Despite crashing out of the tournament, he was still awarded a contract.

Magny’s most notable wins are against Kelvin Gastelum, Johny Hendricks, Carlos Condit, and Robbie Lawler. He suffered three losses in his last five fights and picked up two wins. His most recent fight was a defeat to Michael Morales in August.

The 100th Fight Night at the APEX 🤩@NeilMagny takes on Carlos Prates in the #UFCVegas100 main event!

[ Live on @ESPNPlus | SATURDAY | 7pmET/4pmPT ] pic.twitter.com/lbDaCYQPzC

— UFC (@ufc) November 4, 2024

Carlos Prates Recent Fight Results

Prates was a former Standout Fighting Tournament champion before joining the Dana White Contender Series in August 2023. During the competition, he defeated Mitch Ramirez in the second round to earn a roster spot.

In February, he made his promotional debut and defeated all his opponents, including Trevin Giles, Charles Radtke, and, most recently, Li, at UFC 305. 

Prates hopes to crack a spot in the division’s top 15 rankings with a win over Magny.

Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates: Tale of the Tape