- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: YES
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Saturday, March 16, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-12 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -105 |
| Yankees | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games at home (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 8-7 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 5.47% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 8.58% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.47 Units / -9% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-12 against the Run Line (-9.06 Units / -44.22% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.36 Units / -40.56% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -9.55% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paolo Espino has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the 300 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Paolo Espino has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.6 MPH against his fastballs since the 2021 season (374 balls in play) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 90.5
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays were 20-9 (.690) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Yankees are just 14-28 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .412 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .220 against starting pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Yankees pitchers have won 32% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
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