Man City vs. FC Copenhagen Prediction, Odds, Pick | Champions League Match Preview

Before Wednesday’s Champions League match in Manchester, I’m set to provide a Man City vs. FC Copenhagen prediction. 

Copenhagen faces an uphill climb to reach the quarterfinals after losing the first leg 3-1 at home. 

As for Manchester City, bettors should expect some rotation from manager Pep Guardiola. They beat Manchester United 3-1 at home on Sunday and face a trip to Liverpool this Sunday. 

Here’s a look at the UCL odds for the second leg of this knockout tie, along with my best bet. 

UCL Betting Odds – Man City vs. FC Copenhagen

• Man City Moneyline: -650
• FC Copenhagen Moneyline: +1600
• Draw Moneyline: +775
• Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-110/-125)

UCL Prediction – Man City vs. FC Copenhagen

LEAN Under 3.5 Goals (-125)

Wait for lineups to come out before betting this market to confirm the betting approach for this game. 

Assuming Guardiola opts to rest key attackers Erling Haaland, Kevin De Bruyne and Phil Foden, I’d look to both the full game under and the first half under. 

But, in the event he starts those players and takes them off at halftime, I’d opt to live bet the under after the first half plays out. 

Either way, the fact remains this total is too high. 

City deservedly scored three goals off 3.44 expected goals and 3.93 post shot expected goals, per fotmob.com. 

However, Copenhagen proved lucky to find the back of the net. The Danish champions scored once off only 0.23 xG and 0.26 psxG. 

Although this team has improved since last season, Copenhagen produced under 0.5 xG in both meetings with City last year and failed to score in both meetings. 

That means across all three meetings, Copenhagen have scored one goal off only one expected, per fbref.com. 

However, the first leg performance against City produced an outlier from Copenhagen’s defense. 

In two group stage meetings with Bayern Munich this year, they allowed only 1.6 expected goals. 

With City looking ahead to Liverpool, expect their offense to produce a smaller output compared to the first leg. 

Man City Form 

March 3 vs. Manchester United: 3-1, W

Feb. 27 at Luton Town: 6-2, W (FA Cup)

Feb. 24 at Bournemouth: 1-0, W

Feb. 20 vs. Brentford: 1-0, W

Feb. 17 vs. Chelsea: 1-1, D

FC Copenhagen Form

March 1 at Midtjylland: 0-2, L

Feb. 27 vs. Nordsjaelland: 2-0, W

Feb. 18 at Silkeborg: 3-0, W

Feb. 13 vs. Manchester City: 1-3, L (Champions League)

Feb. 8 vs. Molde: 3-1, W (Friendly)