Arkansas State vs UL Lafayette Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:04 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (4-4) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Lafayette.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Arkansas State vs. UL Lafayette is total points.

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Arkansas State vs. UL Lafayette Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State
UL Lafayette

Arkansas State vs UL Lafayette Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 59.4% confidence.

Arkansas State vs UL Lafayette Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and UL Lafayette, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best UL Lafayette Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UL Lafayette players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chris Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Arkansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Arkansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Arkansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Arkansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    UL Lafayette Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    UL Lafayette has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • UL Lafayette is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • UL Lafayette is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • UL Lafayette is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. UL Lafayette

    Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

    UL Lafayette: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State

    Louisiana is 14-2 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– best in FBS; Average: .493

    Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

    Arkansas State Skill Players have 135 receptions on 3rd down since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Arkansas State Skill Players have 45 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Arkansas State TEs have 187 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Arkansas State RBs have been targeted 14 times in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Arkansas State RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (777 yards/214 carries) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

    UL Lafayette Offensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana RBs have rushed for 16 TDs in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    Louisiana TEs have 16 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

    Louisiana TEs have been targeted 9 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Louisiana TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Louisiana TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends

    Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

    Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 163 attempts (7%) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 2%

    Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 163 attempts (7%) this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

    Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

    Arkansas State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 48 of their 709 carries (7%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

    Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

    Louisiana opponents has averaged 37.2 Passing Attempts per TD (186 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.6

    Louisiana has allowed a passer rating of just 114.3 (604.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8

    Louisiana’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%

    Louisiana has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (10/5) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.86


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