Army vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:02 AM
  • Army (4-6) are -20.5 point favorites vs Massachusetts (1-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Army Black Knights (4-6) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen (1-10) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Amherst.

Army are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Army vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Army vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army-20.5 -11045.5 -115-1400
Massachusetts +20.5 -11045.5 -105+775

Army vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 62% confidence.

The predictions factosr in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Massachusetts have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+4.55 Units / 110% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Army is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • Army is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Army is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts has gone 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • Massachusetts is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -73.78% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

Army is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Army is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Army

UMass is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .494

UMass is winless (0-14) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .437

UMass is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .397

UMass is 1-15 (.053) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Matchup Notes for Army vs. Massachusetts

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 1,316 passing yards in 10 games (just 131.6 YPG) this season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 185.0 passing yards per game this season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

UMass have just 115.9 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 175.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

UMass’s RBs have just 4.9 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among FBS RBs. Army’s defense has allowed just 175.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s WRs has gained 269 yards on 16 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-worst among FBS defenses.

Army’s WRs has gained 854 yards on 49 receptions (17.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s WRs has gained 269 yards on 16 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.2 receptions per game (96/23) since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Army Skill Players have been targeted 8.0 times per game (183/23) since last season– tied for 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8

Army WRs have averaged just 2.1 receptions per game (49/23) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Army Skill Players have averaged just 3.6 receptions per game (36/10) — 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Army WRs have been targeted 4.3 times per game (99/23) since the 2021 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 1,316 passing yards in 10 games (just 131.6 YPG) this season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 185.0 passing yards per game this season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

UMass Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.5 receptions (106 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

UMass RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,062 yards / 277 touches) on 1st down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

UMass Skill Players have averaged just 10.6 receptions per game (106/10) — 5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

UMass have just 115.9 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 175.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 77 of 385 carries (20%) — 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Army has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Army has allowed 118.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 153.0

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (27 completions/61 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (43 completions/58 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 60 of their 862 carries (7%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

UMass has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 86 of 541 attempts (16%) since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 60 of their 862 carries (7%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

UMass has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 86 of 541 attempts (16%) since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%

UMass has allowed 15.3 yards per completion (1,937 yards/127 completions) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.5


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