Auburn vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Alabama (9-2) are -21.5 point favorites vs Auburn (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points

The Auburn Tigers (5-7) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Auburn vs. Alabama Over/Under is total points.

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Auburn vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn
Alabama

Auburn vs Alabama Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 77.7% confidence.

Auburn vs Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 74.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Shedrick Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tank Bigsby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.77 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Auburn is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.88% ROI
  • Auburn is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Auburn is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Alabama is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -4.94% ROI
  • Alabama is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Alabama is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Auburn is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Auburn is 3-9 (.231) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Auburn is 4-6 (.235) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Auburn is 2-7 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

#8 Alabama is 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .383

#8 Alabama is 9-3 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

#8 Alabama is 13-1 (.867) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .553

#8 Alabama is 9-3 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Alabama

Alabama has been targeted 893 times since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 5,337 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama’s TEs has 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among FBS TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 23 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama has been targeted 893 times since the 2021 season — third-most among Power 5 skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 5,337 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Auburn has gained 1,860 yards on 134 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,161 yards on 70 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,161 yards on 70 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has gained 1,860 yards on 134 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,161 yards on 70 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn RBs have averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (121 yards / 14 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,161 yards on 70 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (282 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

#8 Alabama QBs have 37 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#8 Alabama Skill Players have 2,269 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#8 Alabama Skill Players have 2,269 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#8 Alabama WRs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

#8 Alabama Skill Players have caught 73 touchdown passes since the 2021 season– 2nd-most among Power 5 Teams

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has intercepted 4 of 354 attempts (88.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 37.9

Auburn has intercepted 4 of 354 attempts (88.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.4

Auburn has forced 15 fumbles this season– tied for 4th most among Power 5 Teams

Auburn has intercepted 13 of 803 attempts (61.8 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.6

Auburn has allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends

#8 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 57 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#8 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 57 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#8 Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (84/819) since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#8 Alabama has sacked opponents 84 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-most among Power 5 Teams

#8 Alabama has averaged 3.4 sacks per game since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 2.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.