Boise State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:29 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Boise State Broncos (6-2) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (5-3) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in U.S. Air Force Academy.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Boise State vs. Air Force is total points.

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Boise State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State
Air Force

Boise State vs Air Force Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 57.4% confidence.

Boise State vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.69 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Boise State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Boise State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Boise State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Boise State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Air Force has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Air Force is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Air Force is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Air Force is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

    Boise State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .281

    Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Air Force

    Air Force’s offense has thrown for 1,805 passing yards in 20 games (just 90.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — second-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 198.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    Air Force’s QBs has thrown for 1,861 passing yards in 20 games (just 93.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — second-worst among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 198.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    Air Force’s offense has thrown for 563 passing yards in 7 games (just 80.4 YPG) this season — second-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 152.3 passing yards per game this season — second-best among FBS defenses.

    Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

    Boise State RBs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Boise State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Boise State RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Boise State WRs have averaged just 5.6 yards per reception (56 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

    Boise State WRs have averaged just 3.2 yards per reception (13 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

    Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

    Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 7.4 times per game (147/20) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8

    Air Force WRs have averaged 28.1 yards per reception (505 yards/18 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

    Air Force WRs have averaged 24.8 yards per reception (1,538 yards/62 catches) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

    Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 6.9 times per game (48/7) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 30.4

    Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 3.6 receptions per game (73/20) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

    Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

    Boise State has not recorded a sack (46 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

    Boise State has not recorded a sack (46 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

    Boise State has allowed no passing TDs (7 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.0

    Boise State opponents has averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (46 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

    Boise State has allowed no passing TDs (7 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

    Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

    Air Force has allowed a passer rating of 222.4 in close and late situations (20.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 123.1

    Air Force has allowed 161.0 Passing Yards per game (1,127/7) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 245.9

    Air Force has allowed 196.6 Passing Yards per game (3,933/20) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 245.6

    Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (5/154) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

    Air Force has averaged 0.7 sacks per game this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 2.1


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.