BYU vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:07 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The BYU Cougars (4-5) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (7-1) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Lynchburg.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for BYU vs. Liberty is total points.

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BYU vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU
Liberty

BYU vs Liberty Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Brigham Young will win this game with 56.1% confidence.

BYU vs Liberty Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Brigham Young will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaren Hall has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jaren Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.89 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    BYU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • BYU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • BYU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • BYU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Liberty has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Liberty is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Liberty is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Liberty is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

    #16 BYU is winless (0-1) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

    #16 BYU is 5-3 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

    #16 BYU is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .596

    BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

    BYU WRs have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (374 yards/20 catches) in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0

    BYU Skill Players have 3,027 receiving yards on 1st down since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    BYU WRs have averaged 16.9 yards per reception (557 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

    BYU Skill Players have averaged just 7.2 yards per reception (166 yards/23 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.1

    BYU Skill Players have fumbled 18 times since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

    Liberty Skill Players have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Liberty Skill Players have 28 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    Liberty WRs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Liberty WRs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Liberty WRs have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

    BYU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 20 of 259 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

    BYU has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most in FBS

    BYU has allowed 9 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th most in FBS

    BYU has allowed opponents to catch 59 of 87 passes (68% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 54%

    BYU has forced 9 fumbles on 729 carries (81.0 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 41.7

    Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends

    Liberty has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (23/176) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 7%

    Liberty has sacked opponents 23 times this season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

    Liberty has allowed a passer rating of just 117.5 (530.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8

    Liberty has sacked opponents 23 times this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

    Liberty has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (23/176) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.