BYU vs SMU Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: New Mexico Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 11:15 AM
  • SMU (7-5) are -1.5 point favorites vs BYU (7-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 70.5 points
  • Watch the New Mexico Bowl game on ABC

The SMU Mustangs (8-5) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on the BYU Cougars (7-6) on Dec. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Albuquerque for the New Mexico Bowl.

are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at ().

The BYU vs. SMU Over/Under is total points.

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BYU vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Bowl Game:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU
SMU

BYU vs SMU Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 59.8% confidence.

BYU vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rashee Rice has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaren Hall has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+3.95 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Jaren Hall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jaren Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.97 Units / 47% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • BYU is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 7.83% ROI
  • BYU is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • BYU is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • SMU is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 1.18% ROI
  • SMU is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • SMU is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

BYU is 13-4 (.765) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .510

BYU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

BYU is winless (0-2) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .335

BYU is 2-1 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .466

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU QBs have 30 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

SMU QBs have 17 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

SMU TEs have caught 9 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

SMU QBs have 60 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

SMU Skill Players have 60 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU have not been sacked on any of 68 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– tied for best among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

BYU RBs have averaged 13.0 yards per target (104 yards/8 targets) in close and late situations since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9

BYU QBs have 60 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

BYU Skill Players have been targeted 136 times on 3rd down since last season– 2nd fewest among Power 5 Teams

BYU QBs have 28 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 6.9 Yards per Carry (1,392 yards/203 carries) on 1st down this season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 4.5

SMU has intercepted 6 of 96 attempts (16.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 37.7

SMU has intercepted 4 of 46 attempts (11.5 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 37.0

SMU has allowed 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,459 yards / 283 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 6.8

SMU has allowed 6.9 Yards per Carry (1,392 yards/203 carries) on 1st down this season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.5

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU has not recorded a sack (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7

BYU has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (69 completions/102 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 54%

BYU has averaged a sack every 31.0 pass attempts (341 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 14.5

BYU has forced 11 fumbles on 883 carries (80.3 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 41.5

BYU has allowed 14 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.