Georgia vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Georgia (10-0) are -22.5 point favorites vs Kentucky (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points

The Georgia Bulldogs (11-0) visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lexington.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Georgia vs. Kentucky is total points.

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Georgia vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia
Kentucky

Georgia vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 73.5% confidence.

Georgia vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Will Levis has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+2.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Georgia have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.17 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 8.81% ROI
  • Georgia is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Georgia is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -32.68% ROI
  • Kentucky is 1-9 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -80.91% ROI
  • Kentucky is 9-1 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

#1 Georgia is undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — best in FBS; Average: .421

#1 Georgia is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .379

#1 Georgia is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

#1 Georgia is 17-1 (.810) when passing for more than 200 yards — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

#19 Kentucky is 5-1 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510

#19 Kentucky is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points — 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

#19 Kentucky is 8-6 (.533) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .383

#19 Kentucky is 7-1 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .472

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Kentucky

Kentucky’s offense has given up35 sacks this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has sacked the quarterback 14 times this season — tied for second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 63 receptions in 9 games (7.0 per game) this season — second-best among P5 TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has been targeted 99 times this season — second-most among FBS TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 1,612 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs have 109.4 receiving yards per game this season — best among P5 TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 179.1 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have been targeted 7.1 times per game (64/9) in the 1st half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.8

#1 Georgia TEs have 17 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 1,169 receiving yards on 1st down since last season– most among FBS Teams

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.7 Yards per Carry (965 yards/143 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kentucky have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (35/236) this season– worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

Kentucky’s offense has given up35 sacks this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has sacked the quarterback 14 times this season — tied for second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Kentucky RBs have averaged 7.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,112 yards / 158 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Kentucky have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (35/236) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia has allowed a passer rating of just 72.3 in the Red Zone (73.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 164.3

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (18 completions/73 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#1 Georgia has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 30 carries (15 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

#1 Georgia has allowed a passer rating of just 72.3 in the Red Zone (73.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 161.6

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (18 completions/73 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky opponents has averaged 41.3 Passing Attempts per TD (248 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Kentucky has allowed 7.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (164 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.5

Kentucky has allowed 6 touchdowns on 147 completions (24.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Kentucky has allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (129 yards / 49 touches) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Kentucky has allowed 6 touchdowns on 147 completions (24.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.