How Often Do Home Teams Win In College Football?

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BYU running back LJ Martin (27) tries to get past Arkansas defensive back Jaylon Braxton (11) during an NCAA college football game, Sept. 16, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark.
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy Sep 19, 2024, 2:35 PM

Thereโ€™s no place like home, and the college football odds market knows it. Every week during the fall, bettors line up to bet moneyline parlays full of home teams and crafty underdogs ready to enjoy a little home cooking.

Every sports fan โ€“ even those who arenโ€™t necessarily involved in online sports betting โ€“ understands the value of playing on home turf.ย 

Today, Iโ€™m answering a simple question. We all know playing at home is meaningful, but how often do teams actually win their home games? It might be less frequent than you think.

How Often Do Home Teams Win In College Football?

According to data from Bet Labs, FBS college football teams have won 59.2% of their home games dating back to 2005.ย 

Since 2018, when the U.S. Supreme Court overturned PASPA, home teams have a marginally better win percentage of 59.9%.ย 

On average, FBS teams are losing two out of every five home games. And remember, that home-field advantage is already priced into the number youโ€™re getting, regardless of whether youโ€™re betting moneylines or college football spreads.

That means blind-betting home teams is generally a losing proposition. To be successful, bettors must be more discerning in their selections.

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.