Iowa vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Music City Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 3:27 PM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (7-6) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Nashville.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Iowa vs. Kentucky Over/Under is total points.

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Iowa vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa
Kentucky

Iowa vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 61.0% confidence.

Iowa vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .631

Iowa is 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Iowa is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Iowa is winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Kentucky is 8-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .482

Kentucky is 2-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .483

Kentucky is 10-6 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Kentucky is 4-2 (.667) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .504

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Kentucky

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 35.5 receptions (71 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.2 receptions (163 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (38/286) this season– worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (1,020 yards/154 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kentucky RBs have averaged 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (53 yards / 27 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Kentucky have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (38/286) this season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Kentucky RBs have averaged 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (17 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 409 carries (102.2 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 24.6

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,974 yards / 603 touches) this season– best in FBS; Average: 6.8

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 409 carries (102.2 Carries Per TD) this season– best in FBS; Average: 23.8

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed 7 touchdowns on 177 completions (25.3 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Kentucky has allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (171 yards / 65 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

Kentucky’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Kentucky has allowed 182.1 Passing Yards per game (2,003/11) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 238.1

Kentucky has allowed 0.7 touchdowns per interception (7 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.