Iowa vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Music City Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 30, 2022, 8:45 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (7-6) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Nashville.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Iowa vs. Kentucky Over/Under is total points.

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Iowa vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa
Kentucky

Iowa vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 61.0% confidence.

Iowa vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Kentucky vs Iowa and all games with BetMGM


Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .631

Iowa is 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Iowa is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Iowa is winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Kentucky is 8-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .482

Kentucky is 2-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .483

Kentucky is 10-6 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Kentucky is 4-2 (.667) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .504

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Kentucky

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 35.5 receptions (71 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.2 receptions (163 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (38/286) this season– worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (1,020 yards/154 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kentucky RBs have averaged 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (53 yards / 27 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Kentucky have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (38/286) this season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Kentucky RBs have averaged 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (17 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 409 carries (102.2 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 24.6

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,974 yards / 603 touches) this season– best in FBS; Average: 6.8

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 409 carries (102.2 Carries Per TD) this season– best in FBS; Average: 23.8

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed 7 touchdowns on 177 completions (25.3 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Kentucky has allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (171 yards / 65 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

Kentucky’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Kentucky has allowed 182.1 Passing Yards per game (2,003/11) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 238.1

Kentucky has allowed 0.7 touchdowns per interception (7 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.