- Penn State is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Iowa
- Total (Over/Under): 40 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-0) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in University Park.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Iowa vs. Penn State Over/Under is 40 total points.
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Iowa vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa | +14.5 -110 | 40 -110 | +450 |
| Penn State | -14.5 -110 | 40 -110 | -650 |
Iowa vs Penn State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 84.4% confidence.
Iowa vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+5.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 78% ROI)
- Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Diante Vines has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Iowa is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.63% ROI
- Iowa is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Iowa is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Penn State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.47% ROI
- Penn State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Penn State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
#24 Iowa is undefeated (14-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .615
#24 Iowa was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296
#24 Iowa is 6-2 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .485
#24 Iowa is 16-5 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .488
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
#7 Penn State is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .412
#7 Penn State was 8-1 (.889) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .485
#7 Penn State is 13-1 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .484
#7 Penn State is 9-1 (.692) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .389
Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Penn State
Penn State’s TEs has gained 127 yards on 14 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.
Penn State’s WRs have 186.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 179.3 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s TEs has 14 receptions in 3 games (4.7 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 506 passing yards in 3 games (just 168.7 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 194.3 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has 21 receptions in 3 games (7.0 per game) this season — best among P5 TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game this season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has 21 receptions in 3 games (7.0 per game) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game this season — tied for 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
#24 Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1
#25 Iowa WRs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0
#24 Iowa WRs have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0
#25 Iowa WRs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 506 passing yards in 3 games (just 168.7 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 194.3 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State’s TEs has gained 127 yards on 14 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.
#7 Penn State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the 2022 season– 3rd most among FBS Teams
#7 Penn State TEs have picked up first downs on 11 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams
Penn State’s WRs have 186.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 179.3 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s TEs has 14 receptions in 3 games (4.7 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
#25 Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 409 carries (102.2 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.8
#25 Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8
#24 Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 46 carries (15.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8
#24 Iowa has allowed 19 rushing TDs on 1,063 carries (55.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.3
#24 Iowa has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 24 of 527 attempts (5%) since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
#7 Penn State opponents has averaged 41.6 Passing Attempts per TD (999 Pass Attempts/24 Passing TDs) since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.1
#7 Penn State opponents has averaged 43.2 Passing Attempts per TD (561 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since last season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.6
#7 Penn State opponents averaged 47.6 Passing Attempts per TD (381 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.7
#7 Penn State has allowed a passer rating of just 101.8 (561.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 130.8
#7 Penn State has allowed 24 touchdowns on 556 completions (23.2 Completions Per TD) since the 2021 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.2
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