- James Madison is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
- Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- Watch the game on MW Network
The James Madison Dukes (3-0) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Logan.
James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The James Madison vs. Utah State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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James Madison vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| James Madison | -6.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -250 |
| Utah State | +6.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +200 |
James Madison vs Utah State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 66.5% confidence.
James Madison vs Utah State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Utah State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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James Madison Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in their last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 67% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+4.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cooper Legas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cooper Legas has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Terrell Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Cooper Legas has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- James Madison is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 67.16% ROI
- James Madison is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- James Madison is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Utah State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
James Madison is winless (0-2) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .395
James Madison is winless (0-1) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .365
James Madison is 4-1 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
James Madison is winless (0-1) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .389
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Utah State is 13-4 (.765) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Utah State is 10-3 (.556) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .434
Utah State is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .476
Utah State is 11-7 (.611) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 12th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Utah State
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 29.0 targets per game this season — tied for ninth-highest among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 16.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 14th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 469 yards on 59 carries (7.9 YPC) this season — second-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense have allowed just 0.8 YPC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison Skill Players have caught just 18 of 49 passes (37% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%
James Madison WRs have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (700 yards/36 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
James Madison Skill Players averaged 17.3 yards per reception (536 yards/31 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
James Madison WRs averaged 20.9 yards per reception (376 yards/18 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
James Madison Skill Players have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (897 yards/55 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 29.0 targets per game this season — tied for ninth-highest among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 16.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State WRs have 1,871 receiving yards on 3rd down since the 2021 season– 3rd most among FBS Teams
Utah State’s WRs has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 14th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 469 yards on 59 carries (7.9 YPC) this season — second-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense have allowed just 0.8 YPC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 469 yards on 59 carries (7.9 YPC) this season — second-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense have allowed just 2.3 YPC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.
James Madison has no interceptions (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.9
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 390 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
James Madison has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (45/358) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (315 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1
Utah State allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (315 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 4.9
Utah State has sacked opponents 12 times in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 43 of 181 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Utah State has no interceptions (59 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.1
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