- Fresno State is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Fresno.
Fresno State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-110).
The Kent State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Kent State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kent State | +27.5 -110 | 49.5 -115 | +1400 |
| Fresno State | -27.5 -110 | 49.5 -105 | -5000 |
Kent State vs Fresno State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Kent State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Fresno State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Fresno State vs Kent State and all games with BetMGM
Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kent State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+2.75 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.43 Units / 43% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.79 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Kent State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kent State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Alaimo has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Gavin Garcia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Alaimo has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mikey Keene has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.30 Units / 130% ROI)
- Malik Sherrod has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mikey Keene has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Erik Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Kent State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Fresno State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 98.08% ROI
- Fresno State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Kent State is winless (0-1) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .144
Kent State is winless (0-1) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .121
Kent State is 5-11 (.312) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Kent State is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State
Fresno State is 10-1 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .345
Fresno State is 13-2 (.812) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .440
Fresno State is 18-2 (.783) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .509
Fresno State is 17-5 (.680) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .485
Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 959 passing yards in 3 games (319.7 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 179.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have 291.7 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 875 passing yards in 3 games (291.7 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 179.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s RBs has rushed for 416 yards on 98 carries (just 4.2 YPC) this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s QBs has rushed for -11 yards on 25 carries (just -0.4 YPC) this season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Michael Alaimo (KNT) has rushed for -5 yards on 23 carries (just -0.2 YPC) this season — fourth-worst of Qualified Quarterbackss. Fresno State’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kent State Kickers have averaged 49.6 yards per kickoff (8,237 yards/166 kickoffs) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4
Kent State RBs have been targeted 1.6 times per game (47/29) since the 2021 season– 3rd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Kent State’s RBs has rushed for 416 yards on 98 carries (just 4.2 YPC) this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kent State Kickers have averaged 55.6 yards per kickoff (4,500 yards/81 kickoffs) since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5
Kent State RBs have averaged just 0.9 receptions per game (14/15) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 959 passing yards in 3 games (319.7 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 179.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State WRs were targeted 67 times with 4-6 yards to go in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State have 291.7 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 875 passing yards in 3 games (291.7 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 179.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State QBs have 71 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since the 2021 season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams
Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends
Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (326 completions/473 attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 60%
Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (326 completions/473 attempts) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
Kent State allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 50 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
Kent State has allowed opponents to catch 325 of 473 passes (69% Reception Pct) since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
Kent State allowed a passer rating of 155.5 (367.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 133.8
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (505 completions/950 attempts) since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 61%
Fresno State has allowed opponents to catch just 505 of 949 passes (53% Reception Pct) since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 61%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (505 completions/950 attempts) since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (293 completions/544 attempts) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (88 completions/174 attempts) in the 1st half in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 61%
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