Louisiana Tech vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • UTSA (7-2) are -18.5 point favorites vs Louisiana Tech (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 68.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-8) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (9-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in San Antonio.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Louisiana Tech vs. UTSA is total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech
UTSA

Louisiana Tech vs UTSA Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 75.6% confidence.

Louisiana Tech vs UTSA Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -29.73% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 35.71% ROI
  • UTSA is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • UTSA is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Louisiana Tech is 2-13 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .406

Louisiana Tech is 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble — 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .441

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

UTSA is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for best in FBS; Average: .620

UTSA is 13-2 (.765) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 8th-best in FBS; Average: .500

UTSA is 16-3 (.762) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .513

UTSA is 13-3 (.765) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .511

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (9/50) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 18.6 yards per reception (353 yards/19 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Louisiana Tech WRs have been targeted 72 times in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (389 yards / 103 touches) in the 2nd half this season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged just 1.6 yards per reception (11 yards/7 catches) in the 1st half this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA WRs have caught 28 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 24 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

UTSA WRs have averaged 20.2 receptions per game (162/8) this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

UTSA WRs have been targeted 25 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

UTSA Skill Players have picked up first downs on 126 receptions this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 327 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 327 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Louisiana Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 89 of 769 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Louisiana Tech has allowed 24 rushing TDs this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Louisiana Tech has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most in FBS

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has intercepted 3 of 286 attempts (95.3 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.1

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (32 completions/80 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UTSA has allowed 8 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 56 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 32 of 80 passes (40% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.