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LSU vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM
  • – (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The LSU Tigers (5-2) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (4-3) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Gainesville.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for LSU vs. Florida is total points.

Bet now on Florida vs LSU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

LSU vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU
Florida

LSU vs Florida Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 58.2% confidence.

LSU vs Florida Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 68.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jacob Copeland has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.45 Units / 25% ROI)
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    Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Richardson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Anthony Richardson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 69% ROI)
    •
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games (+14.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.61 Units / 15% ROI)
    •
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
    •

    LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • LSU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • LSU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • LSU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

    #25 LSU is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

    #25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

    #25 LSU is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

    #25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

    Florida: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

    Florida is 12-6 (.571) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

    Florida is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

    Matchup Notes for LSU vs. Florida

    Florida’s WRs has gained 694 yards on 45 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Florida’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Florida’s WRs have just 155.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 231.1 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s TEs has 19 receptions in 13 games (just 1.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among SEC TEs. Florida’s defense has allowed just 17.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs have 223.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed just 203.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has 36 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 22 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among SEC defenses.

    LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

    LSU’s TEs has 19 receptions in 13 games (just 1.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among SEC TEs. Florida’s defense has allowed just 17.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs have 223.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed just 203.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has 36 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 22 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has been targeted 487 times since the 2021 season — third-most among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 3,664 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-fewest among SEC defenses.

    LSU has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.

    Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

    Florida Skill Players have no touchdowns on 41 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

    Florida Skill Players have no touchdowns on 41 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

    Florida WRs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

    Florida WRs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.6

    Florida’s WRs has gained 694 yards on 45 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

    #25 LSU has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

    #25 LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (14 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

    #25 LSU has allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

    #25 LSU has allowed opponents to catch 54 of 82 passes (66% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

    #25 LSU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 82 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

    Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends

    Florida’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

    Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 123 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

    Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 123 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.

    Florida has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

    Florida has forced 8 fumbles on 598 carries (74.8 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.5

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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