Georgia vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – SEC Championship

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 12:01 PM
  • Georgia (12-0) are -17.5 point favorites vs LSU (9-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the SEC Championship game on CBS

The LSU Tigers (9-4) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Atlanta.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The LSU vs. Georgia Over/Under is total points.

Bet now on Georgia vs LSU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

LSU vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under, SEC Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU
Georgia

LSU vs Georgia Prediction, SEC Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 77.6% confidence.

LSU vs Georgia Spread Prediction, SEC Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Georgia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Georgia vs LSU and all games with BetMGM


Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+2.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.17 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • LSU is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 11.34% ROI
  • LSU is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • LSU is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 7.96% ROI
  • Georgia is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Georgia is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

#11 LSU is 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .384

#11 LSU is 2-7 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .315

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

#1 Georgia is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#1 Georgia is undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .421

#1 Georgia is 22-1 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

#1 Georgia is 22-1 (.846) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Matchup Notes for LSU vs. Georgia

Georgia’s TEs has 71 receptions in 11 games (6.5 per game) this season — third-best among P5 TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s RBs has averaged 12.0 yards after the catch this season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 71 receptions in 11 games (6.5 per game) this season — best among SEC TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

LSU’s WRs has gained 4,985 yards on 397 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 defenses.

LSU’s WRs has gained 4,985 yards on 397 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

LSU has gained 2,472 yards on 231 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — second-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

LSU’s WRs has gained 4,985 yards on 397 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 defenses.

LSU’s WRs has gained 4,985 yards on 397 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

LSU has gained 2,472 yards on 231 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — second-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

LSU has gained 5,773 yards on 492 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

LSU has gained 2,472 yards on 231 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — second-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have been targeted 10.1 times per game (111/11) this season– 4th highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

#1 Georgia TEs have been targeted 42 times in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have picked up first downs on 41 receptions on 1st down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#11 LSU opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (36 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#11 LSU opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (36 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.2

#11 LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 47 of 401 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– tied for 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#11 LSU has allowed a passer rating of just 92.2 in the Red Zone (36.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 158.0

#11 LSU has intercepted 3 of 36 attempts (12.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.9

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (22 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

#1 Georgia has allowed a passer rating of just 76.0 in the Red Zone (78.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 163.4

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (22 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#1 Georgia opponents has averaged 54.0 Passing Attempts per TD (378 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.2

#1 Georgia has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 35 carries (11.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7


Bet now on Georgia vs LSU and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.