Maryland vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ESPN2

The Maryland Terrapins (5-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (3-4) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Bloomington.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Maryland vs. Indiana is total points.

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Maryland vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Maryland
Indiana

Maryland vs Indiana Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 67.5% confidence.

Maryland vs Indiana Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Rakim Jarrett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 49% ROI)

Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Maryland have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Maryland have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)

Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)

Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Maryland is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Maryland is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Maryland is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Indiana is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Indiana is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Indiana is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Maryland is 6-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Maryland is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Maryland is 1-9 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Indiana is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

Indiana is winless (0-9) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .445

Indiana is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

Indiana is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.1% of 619 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.6% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana has gained 1,317 yards on 124 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) this season — third-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana’s WRs has gained 972 yards on 84 receptions (just 11.6 YPR) this season — third-worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s TEs has gained 371 yards on 31 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s TEs has 106 receptions in 18 games (5.9 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among P5 TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland have 312.8 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 267.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland has 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.4 receptions (179 Rec/8 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7

Indiana Skill Players have caught just 296 of 545 passes (54% Reception Pct) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 65%

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 47 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Maryland has intercepted 8 of 594 attempts (74.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.8

Maryland has intercepted 8 of 594 attempts (74.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 37.3

Maryland has not allowed an opponent to rush for 20+ yards on any of their 130 carries this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Maryland has allowed 5.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 28 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed 22 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana has allowed 22 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Indiana has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 11 of 39 carries (28%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%

Indiana has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

Indiana has allowed opponents to catch 39 of 55 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 54%

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