Oklahoma vs W. Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:50 PM
  • Oklahoma (5-4) are -8 point favorites vs W. Virginia (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Oklahoma Sooners (6-5) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (4-7) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Morgantown.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oklahoma vs. W.Virginia is total points.

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Oklahoma vs. W.Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma
W.Virginia

Oklahoma vs W.Virginia Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 63.8% confidence.

Oklahoma vs W.Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and W.Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Eric Gray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Best W.Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for W.Virginia players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam James has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • JT Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.14 Units / 87% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+4.11 Units / 60% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.84 Units / 30% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -36.78% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

W.Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W.Virginia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • W. Virginia is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -62.55% ROI
  • W. Virginia is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • W. Virginia is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. W.Virginia

Oklahoma is 9-1 (.900) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .437

Oklahoma is 11-3 (.786) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Oklahoma is 9-2 (.600) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405

Oklahoma is 8-3 (.533) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424

W.Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

West Virginia is 3-12 (.188) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

West Virginia is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

West Virginia is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

West Virginia is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. W.Virginia

West Virginia’s RBs has gained 326 yards on 60 receptions (just 5.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 278 times this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 1,884 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 278 times this season — tied for second-most among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 1,884 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 23.3 yards per reception (280 yards/12 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 23.3 yards per reception (280 yards/12 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

Oklahoma WRs have averaged just 5.9 yards per reception (41 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Oklahoma Skill Players have no touchdowns on 14 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged just 6.1 yards per reception (98 yards/16 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

W.Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 35 receptions since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.0

West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 35 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.6

West Virginia’s RBs has gained 326 yards on 60 receptions (just 5.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 278 times this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 1,884 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 278 times this season — tied for second-most among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 1,884 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 257.4 in the Red Zone (16.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 163.4

Oklahoma has allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for most in FBS

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 226.2 in the Red Zone (57.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.9

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 257.4 in the Red Zone (16.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 156.6

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 117 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 15%.

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (2,629 yards/175 completions) this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

West Virginia has allowed 41 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for fewest in FBS

West Virginia has allowed a passer rating of just 63.5 in close and late situations (24.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 121.2

West Virginia has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

West Virginia has allowed 41 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for fewest among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.