Oregon State vs Arizona St. Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Oregon State (7-3) are -7.5 point favorites vs Arizona St. (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54 points

The Oregon State Beavers (8-3) visit Sun Devil Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-8) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Tempe.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oregon State vs. Arizona St. is total points.

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Oregon State vs. Arizona St. Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State
Arizona St.

Oregon State vs Arizona St. Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 62.9% confidence.

Oregon State vs Arizona St. Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon State and Arizona St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chance Nolan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Arizona St. Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona St. players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Emory Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.92% ROI
  • Oregon State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Oregon State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona St. is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona St.

Oregon State is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

Oregon State is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

Arizona St.: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

Arizona State is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Arizona State is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Arizona State is 2-10 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .341

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

#25 Oregon State WRs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (100 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

#25 Oregon State Skill Players have no receptions on 2 targets on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 64%

#25 Oregon State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#25 Oregon State WRs have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (239 yards/12 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.0

#25 Oregon State Skill Players have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (126 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.8

Arizona St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State RBs have picked up first downs on 14 receptions in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 9.6 yards per reception (269 yards/28 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Arizona State RBs have rushed for 10 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arizona State WRs have caught 55 of 80 passes (69% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Arizona State Skill Players have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 4th most among Power 5 Teams

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

#25 Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (32/756) since last season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

#25 Oregon State has allowed first downs on 28% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%

#25 Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (32/756) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#25 Oregon State has allowed 26.4 carries per game (238 carries / 9 games) this season– tied for lowest in FBS; Average: 36.4

#25 Oregon State has allowed 84.1 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 147.3

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Arizona State has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Arizona State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 57 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Arizona State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 22 of 329 attempts (7%) this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Arizona State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 57 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.