Oregon State vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:15 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Oregon State Beavers (5-2) visit Stanford Stadium to take on the Stanford Cardinal (2-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT in Stanford.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oregon State vs. Stanford is total points.

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Oregon State vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State
Stanford

Oregon State vs Stanford Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Oregon State vs Stanford Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon State and Stanford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chance Nolan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Stanford Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Stanford players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brycen Tremayne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tanner McKee has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oregon State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oregon State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Stanford is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Stanford is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Stanford is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Oregon State is 1-4 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Oregon State is 3-11 (.214) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

Stanford is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Stanford is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .356

Stanford is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .297

Stanford is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Stanford

Stanford’s backfield has 87 receptions in 15 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS backfields. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon State’s receiving corps has gained 769 yards on 46 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Stanford’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon State has gained 1,017 yards on 64 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 skill players. Stanford’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State’s receiving corps has gained 769 yards on 46 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Stanford’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Oregon State Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Oregon State WRs have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (176 yards/8 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged 15.9 yards per reception (1,017 yards/64 catches) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford’s backfield has 87 receptions in 15 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS backfields. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Stanford RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions on 1st down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Stanford Skill Players have fumbled 6 times this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Stanford RBs have averaged 2.9 receptions per game (43/15) in the 2nd half since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 1.5

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 41.7 pass attempts (125 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (3/125) this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 25.2 pass attempts (555 Pass Attempts/22 Sacks) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (22/555) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 41.7 pass attempts (125 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.3

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 10 of 31 carries (32%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%

Stanford has allowed a passer rating of just 7.2 in close and late situations (7.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 114.7

Stanford has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 56 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Stanford has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 4 of 81 attempts (5%) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Stanford has allowed first downs on 30% of rush attempts since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 23%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.