Rice vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Western Kentucky (6-4) are -12.5 point favorites vs Rice (5-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 60 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Rice Owls (5-6) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Bowling Green.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Rice vs. Western Kentucky is total points.

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Rice vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rice
Western Kentucky

Rice vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 69.2% confidence.

Rice vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Western Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Rice has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+14.05 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rice is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 4.22% ROI
  • Rice is 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • Rice is 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -24.93% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .561

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky has 51 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed 28 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s WRs has 38 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 28 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among NonP5 defenses.

Western Kentucky’s WRs has 38 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 28 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice RBs have averaged just 4.0 Yards per Carry (1,699 yards/427 carries) since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Rice RBs have averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (337 yards / 101 touches) on 1st down this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Rice Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/13) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

Rice RBs have averaged 4.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (906 yards / 227 touches) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Rice RBs have averaged just 0.4 receptions per game (9/20) in the 1st half since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 1.7

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 27.2 receptions per game (599/22) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Western Kentucky QBs have averaged 400.2 Passing Yards per game (8,805/22) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 247.2

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 348.2 receiving yards per game (7,661/22) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 173.0

Western Kentucky Skill Players have caught 51 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Skill Players have 129 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has allowed 5.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (291 yards / 52 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Rice has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Rice has allowed 5.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (291 yards / 52 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.6

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 30 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Rice has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky has 31 interceptions since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has 31 interceptions since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Western Kentucky has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most in FBS

Western Kentucky has allowed 269 first down receptions since last season– 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.