Stanford vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:50 PM
  • Utah (7-2) are -24 point favorites vs Stanford (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points

The Stanford Cardinal (3-8) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (8-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Salt Lake City.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Stanford vs. Utah is total points.

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Stanford vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford
Utah

Stanford vs Utah Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 78.9% confidence.

Stanford vs Utah Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 79.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Utah, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Elijah Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tanner McKee has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Brycen Tremayne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tanner McKee has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 away games (+6.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Stanford is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.76% ROI
  • Stanford is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • Stanford is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.87% ROI
  • Utah is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Utah is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Stanford is 5-14 (.263) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Stanford is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .399

Stanford is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

#15 Utah is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

#15 Utah is 13-5 (.591) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

#15 Utah is 10-5 (.556) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424

#15 Utah is 8-2 (.727) when not losing a fumble — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Utah

Utah’s TEs has 70 receptions in 8 games (8.8 per game) this season — best among P5 TEs. Stanford’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 172 receptions in 22 games (7.8 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Stanford’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 172 receptions in 22 games (7.8 per game) since the 2021 season — best among FBS TEs. Stanford’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford’s RBs has 108 receptions in 20 games (5.4 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 18.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford RBs have fumbled 7 times this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Stanford Skill Players have fumbled 12 times this season– most among FBS Teams

Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6

Stanford Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (384 yards/46 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 Utah TEs have averaged 8.8 receptions per game (70/8) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

#13 Utah TEs have averaged 7.8 receptions per game (172/22) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

#13 Utah TEs have 30 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

#13 Utah TEs have been targeted 11.5 times per game (92/8) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

#13 Utah TEs have caught 18 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has allowed a passer rating of 172.8 in close and late situations (46.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.8

Stanford has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 80 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Stanford has allowed 5.8 Yards per Carry (4,584 yards/795 carries) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Stanford has allowed 229.2 rushing yards per game (4,584/20) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 153.2

Stanford has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 80 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 14 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#13 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 14 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#13 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

#13 Utah has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

#13 Utah has intercepted 2 of 27 attempts (13.5 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.