Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:43 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Texas Longhorns (5-2) visit Cotton Bowl to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (4-3) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Dallas.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas vs. Oklahoma is total points.

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Texas vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas
Oklahoma

Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 61.5% confidence.

Texas vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Oklahoma, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jadon Haselwood has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Oklahoma Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marvin Mims has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Marvin Mims has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Texas is 1-7 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .335

Texas is 14-3 (.824) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

#18 Oklahoma is 9-3 (.562) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#18 Oklahoma is 13-1 (.765) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .480

#18 Oklahoma is 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .497

#18 Oklahoma is 10-2 (.714) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma’s tight end unit has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among P5 TE corps. Texas’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

No Matchup notes for this Game

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Skill Players have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Texas RBs have 201 receiving yards on 1st down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas WRs have averaged just 4.0 yards per reception (4 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.8

Texas Skill Players have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players have 62 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma RBs have rushed for 9 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma QBs have rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma TEs have 20 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma TEs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (3,805 yards/352 completions) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (352 completions/526 attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Texas has allowed opponents to catch 351 of 524 passes (67% Reception Pct) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Texas has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (3,805 yards/352 completions) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.7

Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 589.6 in the Red Zone (1.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 164.7

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 589.6 in the Red Zone (1.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 148.8

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of just -24.8 in close and late situations (6.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 114.7

Oklahoma has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (1 completions/1 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to catch 1 of 1 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.