Toledo vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 9:13 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Toledo Rockets (6-3) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (5-3) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Buffalo.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Toledo vs. Buffalo U is total points.

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Toledo vs. Buffalo U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo
Buffalo U

Toledo vs Buffalo U Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 59.5% confidence.

Toledo vs Buffalo U Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 78.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Buffalo U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+7.30 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Toledo has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Toledo is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Toledo is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Toledo is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Buffalo U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Buffalo U is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Buffalo U is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Buffalo U is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

    Toledo TEs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Toledo RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (633 yards/89 carries) in close and late situations since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

    Toledo QBs have rushed for 141 yards in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Toledo WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.8 receptions (69 Rec/12 TDs) this season– tied for 3rd best Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

    Toledo Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (90 Rec/17 TDs) this season– 3rd best Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

    Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

    Buffalo RBs have averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (168 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.1

    Buffalo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Buffalo RBs have averaged 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (257 yards / 92 touches) on 1st down this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

    Buffalo Punters have placed 15% of punts inside the 20 (7/46) since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

    Buffalo Skill Players have been targeted 143 times in close and late situations since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

    Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

    Toledo has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

    Toledo has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most in FBS

    Toledo’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 17% of PATs this season– 5th highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

    Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (42 completions/97 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

    Toledo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 16 of 53 carries (30%) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 17%

    Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

    Buffalo has allowed 15.3 yards per completion (4,314 yards/282 completions) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

    Buffalo has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (112 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.8

    Buffalo has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (112 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2

    Buffalo has intercepted 6 of 467 attempts (77.8 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 37.6

    Buffalo has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most in FBS


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