Troy vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 20, 2022, 8:00 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Troy Trojans (6-2) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (6-2) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Mobile.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Troy vs. South Alabama is total points.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy
South Alabama

Troy vs South Alabama Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 52.0% confidence.

Troy vs South Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 71.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.96 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Troy is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Troy is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • South Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • South Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Troy is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .367

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy Skill Players have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Troy RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (394 yards/119 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Troy QBs have averaged just -3.1 Yards per Carry (-255 yards/83 carries) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 2.8

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama Skill Players have no touchdowns on 55 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

South Alabama RBs have averaged 4.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,355 yards / 558 touches) since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

South Alabama WRs have caught 59 of 85 passes (69% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 56%

South Alabama RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (963 yards/257 carries) in the 1st half since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

South Alabama WRs have caught 5 of 6 passes (83% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 59%

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (182 yards / 37 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

Troy has forced 10 fumbles on 687 carries (68.7 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.2

Troy has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 2 of their 196 carries (1%) this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 16 of 234 attempts (7%) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

Troy has allowed 6.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,266 yards / 1,018 touches) since last season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.0

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– tied for 3rd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

South Alabama has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 151 carries (50.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.1

South Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– tied for 5th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

South Alabama has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS

South Alabama has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.