UCLA vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • UCLA (8-3) are -10 point favorites vs California (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The UCLA Bruins (8-3) visit FTX Field at California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (4-7) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Berkeley.

UCLA are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The UCLA vs. California Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCLA-10 -11060.5 -110-375
California +10 -11060.5 -110+290

UCLA vs California Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 62.8% confidence.

UCLA vs California Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and California, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA has gone 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • UCLA is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -8.35% ROI
  • UCLA is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • UCLA is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California has gone 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • California is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -30.73% ROI
  • California is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI
  • California is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. California

#17 UCLA is 8-5 (.615) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

#17 UCLA is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

#17 UCLA is 9-4 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

#17 UCLA is 11-5 (.550) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

California: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

California is 2-8 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

California is 1-13 (.062) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .345

California is 2-11 (.154) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .427

California is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. California

UCLA’s RBs have 52.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense has allowed 248.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s RBs has rushed for 1,601 yards on 249 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.9 YPC this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s RBs have 52.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense has allowed 40.9 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

#17 UCLA RBs have averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (248 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#17 UCLA WRs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (200 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7

#17 UCLA QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#17 UCLA Punters have punted 1.0 times per game since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

#17 UCLA WRs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (200 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.3

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

California WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

California WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

California WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

California RBs have been targeted 9 times in short yardage situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 UCLA has allowed 50.3 receiving yards per game (503/10) to RBs — 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.9

#17 UCLA has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 1 of their 345 carries (0%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

#17 UCLA has allowed 47.1 receiving yards per game (1,037/22) to RBs since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

#17 UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (247 completions/364 attempts) — 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 60%

#17 UCLA has allowed 26 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 5th most in FBS

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has allowed 51.7 receiving yards per game (517/10) to RBs — 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.9

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (13/378) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

California has averaged a sack every 29.1 pass attempts (378 Pass Attempts/13 Sacks) — 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (13/378) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Opponents have averaged 25.1 completions per game (251 / 10) against California this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.