UL Monroe vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 9:05 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-5) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (5-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Mobile.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UL Monroe vs. South Alabama is total points.

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UL Monroe vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UL Monroe
South Alabama

UL Monroe vs South Alabama Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 78.9% confidence.

UL Monroe vs South Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana-Monroe will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Monroe and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 82% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+8.45 Units / 93% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+5.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.05 Units / 93% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    UL Monroe has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • UL Monroe is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • UL Monroe is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • UL Monroe is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    South Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • South Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • South Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • South Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-19 (.050) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .402

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .367

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-13 (.067) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .404

    Matchup Notes for UL Monroe vs. South Alabama

    Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs has 1,208 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-fewest among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 2,196 rushing yards since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

    UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 2.8 Yards per Carry (393 yards/142 carries) in the 1st half since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,266 yards / 340 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 100 touches) on 2nd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (396 yards / 111 touches) this season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 24.6 rushing yards per game (393/16) in the 1st half since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 64.2

    South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

    South Alabama Skill Players have no touchdowns on 55 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

    South Alabama RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    South Alabama RBs have averaged 4.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,175 yards / 526 touches) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

    South Alabama TEs have been targeted 11 times in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

    South Alabama RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (875 yards/244 carries) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

    Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 23 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 6.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (206 yards / 33 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 7 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (672 yards / 133 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 6.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (206 yards / 33 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

    South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

    South Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

    South Alabama has allowed just 9.8 yards per completion (771 yards/79 completions) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0

    South Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (4/140) this season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    South Alabama has allowed first downs on 22% of pass attempts in close and late situations since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 31%

    South Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 10% of PATs since last season– 2nd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%


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