UNLV vs San Jose St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2022, 8:51 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The UNLV Rebels (4-3) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (4-2) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in San Jose.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UNLV vs. San Jose St is total points.

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UNLV vs. San Jose St Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV
San Jose St

UNLV vs San Jose St Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 55.5% confidence.

UNLV vs San Jose St Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 61.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and San Jose St, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+10.25 Units / 123% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+6.75 Units / 126% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UNLV are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • UNLV are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • UNLV are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose St are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Jose St are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Jose St are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose St

UNLV is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .492

UNLV is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .429

UNLV is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

UNLV is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .289

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

UNLV Punters have punted 1.3 times per game since last season– tied for 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

UNLV Kickers have averaged 53.1 yards per kickoff (3,772 yards/71 kickoffs) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4

UNLV TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/2) in the 2nd half this season– tied for lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.5

UNLV RBs have averaged 1.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (18 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

San Jose St Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs have no touchdowns on 42 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

San Jose State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (12 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

San Jose State QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

San Jose State QBs have 15 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

San Jose State RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (186 yards/57 carries) this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (295 completions/434 attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 61%

UNLV has allowed 3.0 touchdowns per interception (12 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (295 completions/434 attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

UNLV has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 1 of their 105 carries (1%) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

UNLV has allowed opponents to catch 296 of 435 passes (68% Reception Pct) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 61%

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 562 carries (46.8 Carries Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.4

San Jose State has allowed just 11.8 yards per completion (3,574 yards/302 completions) since last season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

San Jose State has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 84 carries (7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

San Jose State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th most in FBS

San Jose State has intercepted 5 of 82 attempts (16.4 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 35.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.