UNLV vs UTEP Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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UTEP wide receiver Tyrin Smith sprints after the snap during the first half of an NCAA football game against North Texas on Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in El Paso, Texas.
(AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2023, 5:26 PM
  • UNLV is a -2.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The UNLV Rebels (2-1) visit Sun Bowl Stadium to take on the UTEP Miners (1-3) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in El Paso.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. UTEP Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on UTEP vs UNLV & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UNLV vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-2.5 -11049.5 -105-135
UTEP +2.5 -11049.5 -115+115

UNLV vs UTEP Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 54.3% confidence.

UNLV vs UTEP Spread Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 75.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and UTEP, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+6.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Doug Brumfield has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Ricky White has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Doug Brumfield has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best UTEP Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UTEP players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Deion Hankins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kelly Akharaiyi has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gavin Hardison has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyrin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • UNLV is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 33.96% ROI
  • UNLV is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • UNLV is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • UTEP is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -37.1% ROI
  • UTEP is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

UNLV is winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .121

UNLV is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .341

UNLV is 1-15 (.062) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

UNLV is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .400

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

UTEP is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .456

UTEP is winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .218

UTEP is winless (0-6) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

UTEP was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. UTEP

UTEP’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 14.5 RAC this season — sixth-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 14.5 RAC this season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UTEP’s RBs have 34.2 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 293.3 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV TEs have no touchdowns on 22 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

UNLV Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 38.5 receptions (77 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

UNLV Kickers have averaged 55.6 yards per kickoff (4,335 yards/78 kickoffs) since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5

UNLV Kickers have averaged 55.1 yards per kickoff (7,159 yards/130 kickoffs) since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4

UNLV have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 6 of their 87 total passing attempts (7%) this season– tied for 23rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP RBs were targeted 5.2 times per game (57/11) in the 1st half in the 2022 season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.3

UTEP RBs have averaged 37.8 receiving yards per game (605/16) in the 1st half since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

UTEP’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 14.5 RAC this season — sixth-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP RBs picked up first downs on 39 receptions in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

UTEP RBs were targeted 101 times in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

UNLV has allowed 296.0 Passing Yards per game (888/3) this season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: 232.7

UNLV has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 96 attempts (17%) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 10%

UNLV has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 96 attempts (17%) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

UNLV allowed just 11.7 receiving yards per game (117/10) to RBs in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 25.8

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (9 completions/30 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (16 completions/43 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (29 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

UTEP allowed 15.5 yards per completion (2,549 yards/164 completions) in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 12.6

UTEP has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (3,639 yards/246 completions) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 12.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.