Penn State vs Utah Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Rose Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 02, 2023, 11:47 AM
  • Penn State (11-2) are -1.5 point favorites vs Utah (10-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (10-4) visit Rose Bowl to take on the Utah Utes (11-2) on Jan. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Pasadena.

Penn State are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Utah vs. Penn State Over/Under is 54 total points.

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Utah vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah+1.5 -11054 -110+100
Penn State -1.5 -11054 -110-120

Utah vs Penn State Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 53.6% confidence.

Utah vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Mitchell Tinsley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sean Clifford has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Sean Clifford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.52 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Utah is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Utah is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Penn State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Penn State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Penn State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Penn State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

#11 Penn State is 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .514

#11 Penn State is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .483

#11 Penn State is 6-2 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379

#11 Penn State is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .482

Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

#8 Utah is 13-5 (.722) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496

#8 Utah is 13-5 (.619) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

#8 Utah is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

#8 Utah is 15-5 (.625) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Penn State

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#8 Penn State TEs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#8 Penn State TEs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#8 Penn State TEs have caught 11 touchdown passes this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#8 Penn State WRs have just one touchdown on 50 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

#8 Penn State WRs have just one touchdown on 50 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.1

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 Utah TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (276/25) since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

#12 Utah TEs have averaged 7.9 receptions per game (198/25) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

#12 Utah TEs have averaged 8.7 receptions per game (96/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

#12 Utah TEs have caught 14 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams

#12 Utah TEs have 34 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends

#8 Penn State opponents has averaged 47.6 Passing Attempts per TD (381 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.7

#8 Penn State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (14 completions/44 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 57%

#8 Penn State has allowed opponents to catch just 14 of 44 passes (32% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 57%

#8 Penn State opponents has averaged 43.1 Passing Attempts per TD (819 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.3

#8 Penn State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (14 completions/44 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 57%

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4

#12 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

#12 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#12 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12%.

#12 Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 22% (2 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.