Utah State vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • Boise State (8-3) are -16.5 point favorites vs Utah State (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Utah State Aggies (6-6) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (9-3) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Boise.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Utah State vs. Boise State Over/Under is total points.

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Utah State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State
Boise State

Utah State vs Boise State Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 73.2% confidence.

Utah State vs Boise State Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 59.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Boise State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.72 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.87 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 7.86% ROI
  • Utah State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Utah State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Boise State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • Boise State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Boise State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Utah State is 14-3 (.778) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .538

Utah State is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Utah State is 10-2 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Utah State is 9-2 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Boise State is undefeated (11-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .547

Boise State is winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Boise State is 12-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Boise State is 11-3 (.786) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .508

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (615 yards/182 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (701 yards / 193 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Utah State Skill Players have caught just 30 of 81 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Utah State WRs have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (424 yards/46 catches) on 1st down this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (980 yards / 254 touches) on 2nd down since last season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have 10 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State WRs have fumbled 13 times since last season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State QBs have averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (77 yards/9 carries) in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 2.5

Boise State have not attempted a two-point conversion (77 PATs) since last season– tied for lowest among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

Boise State have not attempted a two-point conversion (77 PATs) since last season– tied for lowest among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone — tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.4

Utah State has sacked opponents 12 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Utah State has sacked opponents 12 times in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 125 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 125 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has not recorded a sack (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Boise State opponents has averaged 8.1 Passing Attempts per TD (57 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

Boise State opponents has averaged 8.1 Passing Attempts per TD (57 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Boise State has allowed one passing TD (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone — best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Boise State has allowed one passing TD (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone — best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.