- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Angels / Padres TV Channel: FDW | PDTV
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-220) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA, CA.
This season, the Angels are 17-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 24-16 ATS.
Angels vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 2-4, 4.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 1-2, 4.95 ERA
Angels vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | O 7.5 -118 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -102 | -220 |
Angels vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.35 Units / 83% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.62 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.59 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.58 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+11.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.22 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-24 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -28.76% ROI).
- 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.47 Units / 7.87% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.92 Units / -15.76% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 24-16 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 11.5% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -10.35% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.44% ROI
Padres vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Padres vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +105 |
| José Soriano (LAA) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Soriano has not struck out any hitters in 28 PA’s in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (86/137) against Jose Soriano this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (86/137) against Jose Soriano this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (41/63) against Jose Soriano this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (95/149) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 61% of the time (91/149) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (2,151/3,910) since last season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed an OPS of 1.027 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels are just 127-13 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Angels are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Angels were just 39-59 (.398) after a loss in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Angels are just 11-51 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres are 74-43 (.632) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Angels (28th best runs scored) today.
The Padres were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 3% of its PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .232 (205 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Angels hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 288 of their 1,440 plate appearances (20%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Padres are batting .296 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,817 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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