- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: TVA | SCHN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -105 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -115 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+21.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 2-2 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -19.2% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 5.88% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 41.57% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -52.87% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -75.82% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 70.59% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Jordan Hicks has the longest active streak at 17.2.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 69-107 (.390) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays were just 11-42 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 82-49 (.626) after a loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 61-40 (.604) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Astros are 40-20 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 516 strikeouts in 2,660 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,660 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,674 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 919 of 12,246 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 198 of 2,920 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (1421.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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