- The Astros are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: RSN | TVA | SCHN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-155) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 1-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-0, 3.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 5.79 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -120 | +130 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 +100 | -155 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+19.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -35.67% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 50.89% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -62.04% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 1-4 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -52% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -62.96% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -42.98% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 36.79% ROI
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Varsho | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kirk | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Biggio | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Clement | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 -5000 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kirk | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Clement | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Varsho | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Biggio | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kirk | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Varsho | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Clement | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Biggio | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Berrios | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Valdez | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 47% (29/61) against Jose Berrios in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
46% of Jose Berrios’ called strikeouts were inside in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents batted just .139 (52-for-374) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 91st Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (765/1,611) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (566/925) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (1,046/1,451) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 160-38 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Blue Jays were 34-55 (.382) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Blue Jays were just 9-39 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros were 42-30 (.583) after a loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 93-23 (.802) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are 94-20 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (9,836 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,464 strikeouts in 7,455 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters struck out just 645 times in 3,295 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,676 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Astros have won 87% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers had 300 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2023 season — 2nd most in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (1421.2 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
The Astros have allowed 3.59 runs per game (582/162) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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