- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: RSN1 | SCHN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+118) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Monday, April 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 11-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-1, 2.52 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 2-1, 1.48 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +118 |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -140 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 away games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 162 games (+20.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 162 games (+7.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-6 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 27.31% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 11.22% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -20.67% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 13.09% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 6.15% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -12.45% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -17.93% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 9.33% ROI
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .116 (43 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .198 (91 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman’s has 11 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 75% (358/478) of the time in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 against Hunter Brown vs right-handed batters this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .279 (85-for-305) against him last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 10 opportunities (50%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
55% of Hunter Brown’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (69/237) against Hunter Brown on fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .034.
The Blue Jays are just 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Astros are 8-2 (.800) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Astros are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (188 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
The Blue Jays are batting just .189 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .477 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are slugging .490 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.32 (81.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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