- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: RSN1 | TVA | MLBN | SCHN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 1-5 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 0-1, 6.76 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+19.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 3-3 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -18.95% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 8% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 25.19% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -36.43% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 1-5 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -60% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -69.51% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -52.55% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 46.46% ROI
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tucker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Abreu | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bassitt | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has averaged 77.7 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (204 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (20/24) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (123/475) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (62/206) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 20% (38/194) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 19-13 (.576) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 161-38 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Blue Jays are 94-73 (.560) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Blue Jays are 70-108 (.391) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 16-13 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Astros are 138-20 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 95-20 (.826) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .105 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays hitters have just 526 strikeouts in 2,716 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 659 strikeouts in 3,715 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Astros hitters have just 338 strikeouts in 1,865 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 930 of 12,370 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (1421.2 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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