- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 49-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 55-50 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-3, 3.70 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 5-7, 4.08 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -190 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 30 games (+35.55 Units / 118% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 49 games (+37.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+19.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 11 games (+12.55 Units / 103% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 35 games (+19.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 104 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 96 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 90 games (+12.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 48-57 against the Run Line (-20.4 Units / -14.22% ROI).
- 49-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 4.5% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.85 Units / -13.72% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 55-50 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 10.46% ROI).
- 62-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.77% ROI
- 56-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.65 Units / 12.86% ROI
- 38-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.9 Units / -20.79% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Connor Norby (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .056 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .029 (1-for-35) against Yariel Rodriguez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .029 (1-for-35) against Yariel Rodriguez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .056 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (103/146) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (427/644) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (133-for-707) against Corbin Burnes when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 70% of the time (103/146) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 8-50 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 17-93 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are just 3-47 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Blue Jays are 43-28 (.606) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Orioles are 31-39 (.443) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Orioles are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 422 strikeouts in 2,228 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .282 against LHP this month (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Blue Jays hitters have just 668 strikeouts in 3,467 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .196 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .799 (1,260 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 79-44 (.642) against the run line (22.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 257 of 3,831 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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