- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Padres
- Blue Jays vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Padres TV Channel: RSN | TVA | PDTV | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-0, 2.46 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 3.14 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 +100 | -105 |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-9 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -4.64% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -9.62% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.48% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-10 against the Run Line (+3.27 Units / 13.41% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.89 Units / 3.51% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.42 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -12.52% ROI
Padres vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has limited playing time.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Ronel Blanco has the longest active streak at 22.1.
Matt Waldron has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (24/47) of opposing batters this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Matt Waldron has located his pitches away 58% of the time (40/69) when behind in the count this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (3/37) against Matt Waldron this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 11th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Blue Jays are 168-38 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Blue Jays are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Padres are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Padres are just 1-75 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are just 7-127 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 537 strikeouts in 2,793 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 291 strikeouts in 1,554 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .271 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Blue Jays are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 27 walks in 180 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (47%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Padres hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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