- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: RSN | NESN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Thursday, April 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-6 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 1-0, 0.71 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-1, 8.69 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Alan Roden has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-3 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 43.37% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 23.62% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -54.48% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 46.08% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-6 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 13.93% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -17.96% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -32.5% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 24.32% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 79.5 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season (185 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Chris Bassitt allowed an OBP of .414 (278 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (39/246) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 13% (5/38) against Walker Buehler this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (103-for-348) against Walker Buehler since last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .244 — fourth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .520 (181 Total Bases / 348 ABs) since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .403 — fourth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .400 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .316 — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 27-47 (.365) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 35-145 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Red Sox are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .082 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .102 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .407 (125 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,419 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 536 strikeouts in 1,930 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 106 extra-base hits out of 236 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .071 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.01 (53.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Blue Jays have allowed 2.33 runs per game (14/6) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 37 of 494 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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