- The Red Sox are -190 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: RSN | RSN1 | TVA | NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-200) on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Easton Lucas 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-0, 1.39 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -120 | +165 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +110 | U 8 +100 | -200 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+9.25 Units / 154% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.90 Units / 182% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.25 Units / 121% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 38.61% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 5.2% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -46.41% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 38.46% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 30.96% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 4.74% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -20.59% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 12.6% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Lucas (TOR) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Easton Lucas this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Easton Lucas has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .062 (1-for-16) against Easton Lucas in his last start — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Easton Lucas has allowed a BABIP of .077 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (112 SO in 294 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (62 SO in 163 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 38% (57/150) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 2-75 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 14-134 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox are just 4-147 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .081 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .108 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Blue Jays are batting .233 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Blue Jays are batting .226 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .163.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 526 strikeouts in 1,906 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .254 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .083 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 30 of 413 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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