- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: RSN1 | NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Wednesday, April 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-5 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 1-1, 3.97 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 0-1, 6.75 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -120 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +170 | U 8.5 +100 | -130 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 73% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 61% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 9-3 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 42.15% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 17.65% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -50.58% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 42.44% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-5 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 21.45% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -26.74% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 18.89% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of just 15% (4 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 41 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (398/529) of the time since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (293/524) against Tanner Houck in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (305/553) against Tanner Houck since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Tanner Houck allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (63 Total Bases / 251 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has thrown off-speed pitches 75% of the time (1,167/1,550) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 19-79 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 20-80 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 5-64 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox are just 35-144 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Red Sox are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .095 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .119 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 20 walks in 120 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have 536 strikeouts in 1,930 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.33 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .077 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 103 of 1,561 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 35 of 456 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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