- The Blue Jays are +100 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 35-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 37-42 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 5-6, 4.26 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 7-4, 4.85 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -110 | +100 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -110 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 17 away games (+18.50 Units / 109% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+16.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+17.20 Units / 156% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+15.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 away games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 35-43 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -14.54% ROI).
- 35-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -15.15% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -13.15% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 3.72% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 37-42 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -10.51% ROI).
- 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 36-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -7.21% ROI
- 39-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.4% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (32 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .222 (39-for-176) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .614 (27 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .350 — third Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (487/647) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (54/362) against Brayan Bello since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (72/439) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has allowed an OBP of .410 (105 PA’s) this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .300 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .410 (16-for-39) against Brayan Bello this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 41-26 (.612) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 189-51 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 4-171 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Red Sox are just 42-70 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Red Sox are 165-12 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Red Sox are just 50-165 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 112 strikeouts in 630 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 380 strikeouts in 2,035 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1 strikeout in 12 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 241 strikeouts in 863 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .262 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 242 of 3,589 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 203 of 2,940 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strike rate of 66% this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Red Sox pitchers have 134 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
