- The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | ESPN+
The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 36-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 37-43 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-2, 5.95 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 3-7, 3.61 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 9.5 -105 | +125 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -115 | -155 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 18 away games (+17.50 Units / 97% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+17.20 Units / 156% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 away games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 36-43 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -13.35% ROI).
- 36-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.41% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 37-43 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 43-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 3.05% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -5.98% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.64% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 24th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to May 18th — Zack Littell has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (56/138) against Kutter Crawford with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (50-for-274) against Kutter Crawford’s fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OBP of just .269 (193 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 84th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are just 8-38 (.174) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays are just 3-36 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Blue Jays are 39-17 (.696) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 27-3 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Red Sox are 97-5 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Red Sox are 165-12 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Red Sox are 45-46 (.495) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .184 against LHP this month (15 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .256 against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Blue Jays hitters have just 380 strikeouts in 2,035 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 626 strikeouts in 3,274 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 981 strikeouts in 3,993 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .334 (3,993 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox hitters have 243 strikeouts in 868 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 207 of 2,982 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.26 (348.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 45 of 716 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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